World Cup Semi-Final England-Argentina: What AI predicts

England or Argentina?

On Wednesday evening, at the Atlanta Stadium (from 9:00 PM in the LIVE ticker >>>), it will be decided who will follow European champions Spain into the 2026 World Cup final.

60 years after England's only World Cup title and 40 years after Diego Maradona's "Hand of God", the historic clash of titans sees a new edition.

The role of favourites is not clearly defined beforehand. This is confirmed by artificial intelligence.

Different predictions

The "Opta Supercomputer" sees England with a minimal advantage in the semi-final.

In 38.9 percent of the simulations, the Three Lions prevail in regular time, while Argentina comes in at 34.1 percent. In 27 percent of the calculated scenarios, the match goes into extra time.

ChatGPT's prediction also points to an evenly matched duel, albeit with a razor-thin advantage for the reigning world champions.

The "Albiceleste" thus win 36 percent of the simulations within 90 minutes. England follows with 35 percent, while in 29 percent of cases, no winner is decided after regular time.

ChatGPT believes in Messi and Co.

When it comes to the chances of reaching the final, the two models also come to slightly different results.

"Opta" sees England slightly ahead with a probability of 50.94 percent. According to "ChatGPT", however, Argentina has better prospects of advancing with 54 percent.

The Expected Goals predicted by "ChatGPT" are 1.49 for Argentina and 1.38 for England. The most likely result after 90 minutes is a 1-1 draw. Following that are a 2-1 victory for Argentina and a 1-0 success for England.